22 May 2019

KNIVES OUT FOR MAY AFTER TORIES PANIC AT PARTY'S DEATH SPIRAL - IS IT TOO LATE TO SAVE THE TORY PARTY?


It looks like the Tory Party has finally reached breaking point and is now actively trying to "bump off" Theresa May, possibly ending her career as Prime Minister before the weekend. 

The first signs that May is political toast came today, when cabinet ministers started requesting emergency meetings with the PM and the 1922 Committee of Conservative Party back-benchers (non-ministerial MPs) held a meeting on changing the rules of the Party in order to oust the party's leader. 

May has faced challenges from her backbenchers before, and she has also faced opposition from within her cabinet before, but never at the same time and with the degree of intense feeling that is being shown now. 

This is because the Brexit impasse has effectively thrown the Conservative Party into a death spiral, with less than 10% of the electorate expected to vote for it tomorrow (Thursday 23rd of May) in the European Parliamentary Elections. These elections BTW are only being held because May went to Brussels and begged the EU to give Britain several more months of EU membership to get her highly unpopular deal with the EU through Parliament.

Her own MPs are split by the deal between those who are prepared to hold their noses and vote for it and those who would prefer a "No Deal" Brexit. But the MPs are now totally united in their horror of the negative results the Brexit chaos is having on the party's activist and voter base, most of whom will vote for Nigel Farage's Brexit Party tomorrow.

With the Labour opposition refusing to support her deal mainly for tactical political reasons, her deal with the EU has no chance of getting through Parliament. 

In fact, her recent attempt to make it more attractive to Remain-supporting Labour and LibDem MPs by offering a chance of a Second Referendum if it is passed, had the opposite effect, entirely weakening her position. 

While some Labour MPs made sympathetic noises, her latest proposal increased opposition within her own party and indeed within her cabinet to new heights, even leading to a ministerial resignation. There may be more soon. 

The longer she stays the more the party will suffer, starting with tomorrow's EU election. But the good news is that even after the Tories change their leader, it will still be difficult to break the political logjam created by Brexit. 

Brexit is fine and I totally support it, but political chaos that could lead to the destruction of the poisonous, fake democracy of the two-party system is even better. 

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